Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.120165 2.418371 2.743441 3.124120 3.557761 4.036443 4.605091
2025-09-07 1.631783 2.030444 2.503708 3.107073 3.856261 4.756588 5.921909
2025-09-14 1.343120 1.774250 2.316956 3.050505 4.017006 5.248398 6.939245
2025-09-21 1.151106 1.597065 2.186087 3.021381 4.176858 5.721385 7.947712
2025-09-28 0.999907 1.447623 2.064153 2.975654 4.291001 6.124021 8.880029
2025-10-05 0.952344 1.432452 2.118796 3.172188 4.751098 7.035259 10.602212
2025-10-12 0.865739 1.348380 2.062309 3.196100 4.955438 7.589016 11.846472
2025-10-19 0.814230 1.309779 2.066357 3.306516 5.293712 8.364012 13.489387
2025-10-26 0.740876 1.228302 1.994802 3.288961 5.425896 8.826694 14.676838
2025-11-02 0.679214 1.158591 1.933739 3.279557 5.565649 9.306810 15.927481
2025-11-09 0.615081 1.077899 1.846309 3.216228 5.606630 9.623443 16.925701
2025-11-16 0.576081 1.035913 1.818874 3.250494 5.813510 10.230693 18.469863
2025-11-23 0.535697 0.991528 1.789935 3.291790 6.059042 10.965371 20.384583
2025-11-30 0.488755 0.931199 1.728415 3.271252 6.197169 11.534295 22.080961
2025-12-07 0.442314 0.866295 1.651151 3.211806 6.254052 11.955822 23.538142
2025-12-14 0.405097 0.814714 1.592902 3.181133 6.360048 12.475152 25.230846
2025-12-21 0.369999 0.763356 1.529539 3.132983 6.425066 12.918662 26.814247
2025-12-28 0.366604 0.775319 1.590942 3.339934 7.020696 14.459913 30.778942
2026-01-04 0.344214 0.745549 1.565367 3.365114 7.243999 15.269835 33.302016
2026-01-11 0.332556 0.737171 1.582614 3.481382 7.669370 16.534379 36.919952
2026-01-18 0.309580 0.701800 1.539513 3.462896 7.801231 17.189335 39.269135
2026-01-25 0.289415 0.670557 1.502168 3.452994 7.950180 17.893279 41.796469
2026-02-01 0.266564 0.630862 1.442390 3.386308 7.963616 18.297549 43.675885